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Estimation of product is done considering at least the following factors in its calculation (target population for that particular vaccine, buffer stock level, wastage rate level, number of doses in the vaccination schedule) and potentially historical consumption, CCE functioning status, CCE capacity
Estimates of the product is displayed/viewable in multiple views, such as – estimates of all products for a certain facility, district, store, province, region, etc; need estimates of a single product over multiple time periods (month, six weeks, quarters, years, etc).
Background
Effective vaccine management requires accurate vaccine forecasting and needs estimation, as well as adequate stock ordering that follows the delivery schedule, in conformity with cold chain capacity. This page focuses on the former and adequte stock ordering is captured under the "delivery/supply requirements" pages.
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# | Title | User Story | Label | Importance | Notes |
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1 | Calculate Needs Estimates for Facilities in the system | As a district EPI supervisor and/or as an Intermediate Vaccine Store Manager, I want to calculate the needs estimates for all the health facilities under my responsibility by using a series of variables (See list under "background" above) so that I can ensure the stock in my district depot is enough to meet their needs via next scheduled re-supply and so I know when to place a requisition order from the level above for additional stock. | SELV does part of this | Must Have |
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2 | Calculate Needs Estimates for Storage Points in the system (outside of HCs) | As an intermediate vaccine store manager, I want to calculate needs estimates for all the storage points dependent on me (district depots, zonal depots, etc) using the variables listed under "Background" so that I can ensure the stock in my warehouse is enough to meet their needs via next scheduled re-supply and so I know when to place a requisition order from the level above for additional stock. | SELV does part of this | Must Have |
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3 | Dynamic calculation of needs estimates | As a district EPI supervisor or Intermediate Vaccine Store Manager, I want to have a dynamic way of calculating needs estimates where I can turn on or off the variables listed above to see which ones have a better accuracy for predicting correct estimates so that I can inform MoH policy and guidelines | SELV does not do this | Big debate |
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4 | View Needs Estimates for Facilities in a district | As a district EPI supervisor, I want to view the "calculated" needs estimates for all the facilities in my district so that I can ensure the stock in my district depot is enough to meet their needs via next scheduled re-supply and so I know when to place a requisition order from the level above for additional stock. | SELV | VERY Nice to have |
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5 | View Needs Estimates for Storage Points under a specific intermediate store | As an intermediate vaccine store manager, I want to view the calculated needs estimates for all the storage points dependent on me (district depots, zonal depots, etc) so that I can ensure the stock in my district depot is enough to meet their needs via next scheduled re- and so I know when to place a requisition order from the level above for additional stock. | SELV | VERY Nice to have |
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Diagrams
Dependencies
Description | Link |
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